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Thursday, 26 August 2010

Unionist Competition v Unity

The FST result has been used as the whipping boy of Unionist Unity.  South Belfast is ignored.  In it two Unionist parties competed against one another in a marginal seat with a nationalist incumbent.  How did the Unionist vote perform there?

It was down and down more, significantly more than Fermanagh.  In FST the Unionist physical vote dropped by 1675 votes and 1.5 percentage points.  This was a 7.3% drop in the Unionist vote on the previous result.  In South Belfast the Unionist physical vote dropped 2375 votes and 10.1 percentage points.  This was a 14.4% drop on the previous result.  Both saw a drop but Unionist competition in the marginal held by a nationalist saw a much greater drop in every category than the seat where an agreed candidate was run.

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